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Mortality statistics are fundamental to public health decision making. Mortality varies by time and location, and its measurement is affected by well known biases that have been exacerbated during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper aims to estimate excess mortality from ... more
ABSTRACT Objectives: We developed COVID-19 Outbreak Simulator (https://ictr.github.io/covid19-outbreak-simulator/) to quantitatively estimate the effectiveness of preventative and interventive measures to prevent and battle COVID-19 outbreaks for specific populations.
Schlussfolgerungen auf Basis der umfassendsten Erhebungen zu nationalen und regionalen Infektionsraten November 2020
This report presents three scenarios on the impact of COVID-19 in Africa using economic growth forecasts, mortality and efforts to ameliorate impact through social grants. Likely effects are examined on per capita income, poverty and the attainment of selected Sustainable Development Goals targets. ... more
ESTUDIO ENE-COVID19: Segunda Ronda del Estudio Nacional de Sero-Epidemiología de la Infección por SARS-CoV-2 en España; Informe preliminar 3 de Junio de 2020 Informe nº 33. Análisis de los casos de COVID-19 notificados a la RENAVE hasta el 10 de mayo en España a 29 de mayo de 2020. Equipo COVI... more
Simulation
The purpose of this work is to estimate potential COVID-19 case burdens in each African nation considering various social distancing interventions. Given current trends in case burden, the model estimates the potential resource needs that would be needed under different scenarios. The model is for p... more
Version 15.4.2020 Mögliche Szenarien mit unterschiedlicher Daür und Wirkungsstärke wesentlicher Gegenmaßnahmen