Mortality statistics are fundamental to public health decision making. Mortality varies by time and location, and its measurement is affected by well known biases that have been exacerbated during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper aims to estimate excess mortality from ...the COVID-19 pandemic in 191 countries and territories, and 252 subnational units for selected countries, from Jan 1, 2020, to Dec 31, 2021.
The Lancet. 10 March 2022. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)02796-3.
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ABSTRACT
Objectives: We developed COVID-19 Outbreak Simulator (https://ictr.github.io/covid19-outbreak-simulator/) to quantitatively estimate the effectiveness of preventative and interventive measures to prevent and battle COVID-19 outbreaks for specific populations.
Schlussfolgerungen auf Basis der umfassendsten Erhebungen zu nationalen und regionalen Infektionsraten November 2020
This report presents three scenarios on the impact of COVID-19 in Africa using economic growth forecasts, mortality and efforts to ameliorate impact through social grants. Likely effects are examined on per capita income, poverty and the attainment of selected Sustainable Development Goals targets. ...Africa’s development trajectory has suffered a severe setback, with extreme poverty rising in all the scenarios. The pandemic threatens Africa in several ways, and the report provides policy recommendations to reduce vulnerability and strengthen resilience.
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ESTUDIO ENE-COVID19: Segunda Ronda del Estudio Nacional de Sero-Epidemiología de la Infección por SARS-CoV-2 en España; Informe preliminar 3 de Junio de 2020 Informe nº 33. Análisis de los casos de COVID-19 notificados a la RENAVE hasta el 10 de mayo en España a 29 de mayo de 2020. Equipo COVI...D-19. RENAVE. CNE. CNM (ISCIII) Actualización nº 143. Enfermedad por el coronavirus (COVID-19). 21.06.2020 Sistema de Vigilancia de la mortalidad diaria (MoMo), accessed: 23 June, 2020 Instituto Nacional de Estadística: Población por comunidades, edad (grupos quinquenales), Españoles/Extranjeros, Sexo y Año Own calculations
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The purpose of this work is to estimate potential COVID-19 case burdens in each African nation considering various social distancing interventions. Given current trends in case burden, the model estimates the potential resource needs that would be needed under different scenarios. The model is for p...lanning purposes and is based on current understanding and the most up-to-date assumptions. Results reported here are not forecasts but scenarios that may unfold given the assumptions about social-distancing and population health.
You can download scenarios for North Africa; Middle Africa; West Africa, East Africa and South Africa
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Version 15.4.2020
Mögliche Szenarien mit unterschiedlicher Daür und Wirkungsstärke wesentlicher Gegenmaßnahmen